Why do Afghanistan GDP growth estimates disagree?
GDP estimates can differ because reports use different fiscal years, calendar years, data vintages, methods, and assumptions in a difficult measurement environment.
What the figure or term means
UNDP discussed 1.9 percent growth for FY2024/25, while the World Bank’s later Spring 2026 update estimated 4.8 percent for 2025.
The figures should not be averaged together.
Revisions are normal when more information becomes available.
Quote the organization, reporting period, publication date, and whether the number is an estimate or forecast.
How to use this information responsibly
Economic indicators describe different things: national output, prices, household deprivation, employment, public revenue, or access to services. Reading the definition and period is essential.
Economic series are revised and are not interchangeable. Growth in total GDP can coexist with falling income per person and worsening household hardship.
Check the underlying information.
Editorial standard: This page is reviewed by a person, sourced to Famidi records or authoritative references, and revised when the program or underlying guidance changes. It does not replace legal, tax, medical, or financial advice.